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Planning Office

Build-Out Analysis

NEW! Prince William County Online Build-Out Analysis

The Prince William County Planning Office has launched an enhanced, live version of the Build-Out Analysis - an interactive online tool that provides continuously updated information about the county's development potential.

Unlike previous print versions, where data was "locked" at a specific point in time (typically December 31 of each year), the new Build-Out Analysis hub site application updates quarterly - or whenever the Board of County Supervisors adopts a new land development case. The hub includes detailed information about how and when data updates occur.

The digital platform also includes user-friendly features such as data filtering, downloadable data tables, and access to GIS data layers available through the Prince William County GIS Open Data Portal.

Click on the image to open the new application.

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Build-Out Analysis Hub page

 

 

About the Build-Out Analysis

The Build-Out Analysis estimates how much residential and non-residential development could occur if all land within the county were built to the maximum extent allowed by current zoning. The analysis offers valuable insight into:

  • Future growth capacity;
  • Infrastructure needs;
  • Policy considerations supporting sustainable, balanced development.

As a planning tool, the Build-Out Analysis helps answer questions such as:

  • How much housing or commercial space could be built in the county?
  • Where does remaining capacity for growth exist, and where are there constraints?
  • What impacts might different growth scenarios have on infrastructure, services, and the environment?

Data Updates

Premise point data is pulled on a quarterly schedule from building occupancy permits to update the premise point layers, residential and non-residential, which in turn updates other data layers related to the premise points.

Other layers in the analysis are updated after the Board of County Supervisors adopts a new rezoning case, special use permit, or Comprehensive Plan amendment that changes the approximation of residential units yet to be built or an approximation of unbuilt non-residential gross floor area (GFA) in square feet. This task is usually completed within two weeks after the Board of County Supervisors meeting. These layers are commonly referred to as the "pipeline".

The Build-Out Analysis also provides a projection of the mid-range of future development based on the 2040 Comprehensive Plan Long-Range Land Use Plan and helps determine quantity and location of future growth for Prince William County under existing conditions.

Comments or suggestions?

Note that under the Virginia Freedom of Information Act, comments, including any personally identifiable information that is included in the comments, are subject to public inspection.

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